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Borderless World - March 2010

Welcome to the March 6, 2010 edition of international economics carnival.

Finance

chuck machado presents Medical Bills Lower Credit Scores posted at Raise Credit Score, saying, "The biggest obstacle to raising credit report scores is the lack of credit card debt management. Your credit report shows not only how much you're spending, but how much you're paying toward reducing your debt. If you are making minimum payments, lenders can see this and they figure your are either not too bright or are struggling."

Vicky presents Affordable Wedding Photography posted at Affordable Wedding Planning, saying, "A good way to save money on a wedding without sacrificing quality is to keep the costs of wedding photos low."

Wenchypoo presents The Diminished Incentive to Save posted at Wisdom From Wenchypoo's Mental Wastebasket, saying, "All this talk about shoving the debt onto our grandkids...what if we HAVE no kids or grandkids? An article from Prudent Bear my comments."

That concludes this edition. Submit your blog article to the next edition of international economics carnival using our carnival submission form. Past posts and future hosts can be found on our blog carnival index page.



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Mark Krikorian is wrong on immigration again. In response to a proposed wage subsidy (my highlighting added):

Unfortunately, he doesn't even mention the one step that would cost nothing and use the market in "fighting crime, alleviating poverty and inculcating the habits essential to long-term success." Namely, tightening the labor market by reducing immigration, both permanent and "temporary," legal and illegal, something Congress can do any time it feels like. Despite the recession, the federal immigration program continues to legally import something like 100,000 working-age people from abroad each month, disproportionately less-skilled, who will compete directly with the very less-skilled Americans (and earlier immigrants) that Salam is rightly concerned about. Just since 2000, immigration (legal and illegal combined) has increased the supply of high school dropouts by something like 15 percent.


There are many reasons for the stagnant or declining prospects of poor workers, immigration being only one of them. But it's simply absurd to talk about wage subsidies or minimum-wage increases or any similar government initiative to improve opportunity for the working poor until we stop subverting their job prospects through another discretionary government initiative.

How many times must it be shown that immigrants do NOT cause more crime and DO benefit the economy? Low-skilled immigrants do not, in general, compete with low-skilled Americans, except for maybe high-school dropouts. Rather, low-skilled immigrants either create a need for higher-level supervisors, which go to Americans, or they are replacing what would have been done by technology instead.

Immigrants coming into America create increased demand and allow for more specialization, which both improve the economy. As can be seen by this recession, when the economy doesn't grow, it isn't so good for the poor. Decreasing immigration will make America, and the poor, even poorer.

By the way, what makes the well-being of high school dropouts count, but not the well-being of immigrants? And how is it that Congress can stop illegal immigration "any time it feels like"?

All that being said, in reference to the wage subsidy idea, I would favor an elimination of the payroll tax instead.

Follow me on Twitter: @AGoldenDoor
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From the Denver Post:

Remember that Congress estimated Medicare's cost at $12 billion for 1990 (adjusted for inflation) when the program kicked off in 1965. Medicare cost $107 billion in 1990 and is quickly approaching $500 billion. Who's going to stop it?

Not surprisingly, making predictions 25 years into the future can be problematic. When a politician says that their new bill will cost X amount of dollars, remember to add an extra zero after that number. This will give you a better idea of how much it will actually cost.

Follow me on Twitter: @AGoldenDoor
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Liberal politicians enjoy painting those who do not support a large welfare state as uncompassionate and/or racist. In some (maybe many) instances, they are not far from the truth. However, when the people who do not support an enormous welfare state do support open immigration, this caricature falls apart. As Milton Friedman observed, "You cannot simultaneously have free immigration and a welfare state." If the choice is between the American poor and the Global poor, it seems to me as if the more compassionate people would side with the Global poor, who are the much poorer group. Yet advocating a policy that would lead to a drawback in the welfare state becomes inherently uncompassionate.

As for the racism charge, this one is a loser on its face. The majority of poor immigrants coming to the United States are not white


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More genius from Matt Yglesias on immigration policy (my emphasis added):

If you’re thinking about ways to boost the prospects of poor Americans, doing it by punishing even poorer Mexicans seems like a uniquely illogical and unappealing way to get the job done. Why not help poor Americans by targeting rich Americans and spreading the wealth around? Or by increasing the number of high-skill immigrants who we let in to offset the distributive impact of low-skill immigration? That leaves everyone better off than they would be in a no-immigration scenario. Flip the script around and imagine a country with no immigrants and no immigration. Now imagine me proposing to help the working class by rounding-up some disfavored 10 percent of the working-class population and deport them to a nearby corrupt and impoverished nation. Would anyone consider that a remotely sensible way to behave?

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It is often pointed out that illegal immigrants are less likely than U.S. natives to commit crimes. Conservatives like to respond that 100% of illegal immigrants are criminals, because they broke the law to enter the country. Technically, this is true, but to count that initial crime against them does nothing to advance the discussion toward a political solution. Matt Yglesias has an intelligent response to such an argument:

Nobody favors “illegal immigration” but a response focused on large-scale deportations of undocumented migrants is both inhumane and economically destructive. It would be far smarter to put into place a system that lets people who’ve come here to work do so as long as they follow the law, pay the taxes they owe, and start the process of integrating themselves and their families into American society...The fact that lots of people from all around the world want to come here and add their skills and efforts to our own is one of America’s great strengths in the world—it’s something we should be taking advantage of, not fearing.

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Maxim Pinkovskiy and Xavier Sala-i-Martin's new paper has an exciting abstract:

The conventional wisdom that Africa is not reducing poverty is wrong. Using the methodology of Pinkovskiy and Sala-i-Martin (2009), we estimate income distributions, poverty rates, and inequality and welfare indices for African countries for the period 1970-2006. We show that: (1) African poverty is falling and is falling rapidly. (2) If present trends continue, the poverty Millennium Development Goal of halving the proportion of people with incomes less than one dollar a day will be achieved on time.(3) The growth spurt that began in 1995 decreased African income inequality instead of increasing it. (4) African poverty reduction is remarkably general: it cannot be explained by a large country, or even by a single set of countries possessing some beneficial geographical or historical characteristic. All classes of countries, including those with disadvantageous geography and history, experience reductions in poverty. In particular, poverty fell for both landlocked as well as coastal countries; for mineral-rich as well as mineral-poor countries; for countries with favorable or with unfavorable agriculture; for countries regardless of colonial origin; and for countries with below- or above- median slave exports per capita during the African slave trade

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GDP is Not the Same as Well-being

March 2nd 2010 18:48
Over at EconLib, David Henderson takes on those who idolize GDP over actual welfare:

When economics professors teach the basics of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), we usually caution our students that it is not a good measure of welfare. Unfortunately, many economists go on to give GDP far more credit than it deserves. They tend to consider fiscal and monetary policy positive if these policies increase GDP, but they often fail to ask, let alone answer, whether those same policies increase or reduce welfare. I have a term for giving GDP such a sacred a place in economists' reasoning: GDP fetishism.

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While the main issues of this blog are international trade and immigration, the topic of how government should be formed is fair game. In this post, we are going to wander into the area of government. When people who are in favor of lower taxes and less government spending express these views, opponents commonly respond along the lines of "I guess you don't want roads and bridges, or schools, or libraries, etc." Do people truly believe this to be a logical defense of high government spending and taxes? Do people truly think that the majority of government spending goes toward Public Goods? (To be fair, people who claim that those who want any sort of taxes or government spending are merely pushing a Marxist agenda are also off the mark.) Let us take a look at the government spending breakdown in the U.S., as of 2008:

Where Our Tax Dollars Go

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If you have a blog post on any International Economics topic, please submit it to my Blog Carnival! Thanks!

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